Over 2.5 sets predictions 19 September 2026

Every best-of-three singles match ranked by the chance that it goes the distance to a third set. Evenly matched players make three-setters; a lopsided pairing usually ends in two.

Chance of a third set, 20 matches

MatchThree sets Two sets
Finished Aoi Ito – Sofya Lansere Singapore · final 2–0 50% 50%
Finished Miho Kuramochi – Boyoung Jeong Seoul · final 2–1 50% 50%
Finished Anna-Lena Friedsam – Desirae Krawczyk Singapore · final 2–0 50% 50%
Finished Liudmila Samsonova – Peyton Stearns Guadalajara · final 0–2 50% 50%
Finished Alevtina Ibragimova – Rina Saigo Seoul · final 2–0 50% 50%
Finished Haruka Kaji – Darya Astakhova Seoul · final 1–2 50% 50%
Finished Mei Yamaguchi – Ulrikke Eikeri Singapore · final 2–0 50% 50%
Finished Xinxin Yao – Priscilla Hon Seoul · final 2–1 49% 51%
Finished Nao Hibino – Kai Ning Chanya Ng Singapore · final 2–0 49% 51%
Finished Eva Marie Desvignes – Kyoka Okamura Singapore · final 0–2 49% 51%
Finished Mai Hontama – Eunhye Lee Seoul · final 1–2 49% 51%
Finished Jiaqi Wang – Anastasia Kulikova Singapore · final 0–2 49% 51%
Finished Joanna Garland – Ellen Perez Singapore · final 2–0 49% 51%
Finished Nika Radišić – Viktoria Morvayova Singapore · final 0–2 47% 53%
Finished Peyton Stearns – Iva Jović Guadalajara · final 0–2 47% 53%
Finished Nadia Podoroska – Paula Badosa WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles · final 2–0 47% 53%
Finished Kaitlin Quevedo – Anna Blinkova WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles · final 2–1 46% 54%
Finished Alexandra Shubladze – Gaeul Jang Seoul · final 2–0 46% 54%
Finished En-Shuo Liang – Sara Saito Seoul · final 0–2 45% 55%
Finished Carol Zhao – Yexin Ma Seoul · final 0–2 43% 57%
How the three-set chance is worked out
It follows directly from the win probability: the closer a match is to 50/50, the more likely each set is to be shared and the match to need a third. Grand Slam men's matches (best of five) are left out here.